Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 33.052350 38.031805 43.410778 49.641158 56.646460 64.266899 73.170869
2024-12-22 22.776423 29.253289 36.928284 46.636932 58.528241 72.551870 90.269567
2024-12-29 18.491483 25.893425 35.317803 48.065239 64.705489 85.521491 113.337032
2025-01-05 15.983448 24.050419 34.947441 50.508846 71.880850 99.883352 138.963607
2025-01-12 13.037116 20.988812 32.338237 49.373654 73.871284 107.326361 155.845507
2025-01-19 10.496636 18.023259 29.339523 47.132703 73.826699 111.681644 168.516812
2025-01-26 9.727087 17.601706 29.949326 50.098041 81.354412 127.006399 197.415728
2025-02-02 9.376578 17.774843 31.439538 54.470227 91.244922 146.331925 233.259586
2025-02-09 8.375369 16.685427 30.747643 55.268090 95.619393 157.666344 257.908581
2025-02-16 7.376886 15.439349 29.620747 55.184318 98.498253 166.797438 279.650227
2025-02-23 6.453547 14.183268 28.306735 54.603833 100.435844 174.471790 299.456670
2025-03-02 5.720993 13.177124 27.303941 54.424661 102.959284 183.143602 321.224097
2025-03-09 5.082152 12.305964 26.528360 54.723673 106.590566 194.296050 348.446391
2025-03-16 4.145758 10.657330 24.074930 51.697609 104.167803 195.311254 359.310958
2025-03-23 3.813647 10.275406 24.071691 53.313914 110.242559 211.173932 396.040962
2025-03-30 3.613440 10.161025 24.596073 56.001734 118.494189 231.313498 441.214002
2025-04-06 3.110273 9.224736 23.250676 54.760546 119.154686 237.985309 463.282869
2025-04-13 2.592818 8.144118 21.429450 52.305322 117.194510 239.708672 476.582258
2025-04-20 2.521003 8.221425 22.244325 55.554649 126.825418 263.361644 530.641889
2025-04-27 2.542558 8.558542 23.703537 60.341706 139.907714 294.182354 599.293152
2025-05-04 2.329126 8.191565 23.426789 61.214825 144.956640 310.000246 640.952408
2025-05-11 2.088097 7.694421 22.761455 61.123159 147.948981 321.991573 676.007217
2025-05-18 1.849684 7.153209 21.907006 60.487928 149.698540 331.601702 706.954117